The United Kingdom’s exit from the European Union is currently in a state of disarray, but many still believe it will become the first country to leave the international federation, and that others will follow.
Among the frontrunners being tipped to follow the UK out of the EU door comes favourites Greece closely followed by France, and What Are The Odds has broken down the latest markets on who could be next to go, per William Hill.
The confusion around the United Kingdom’s exit status comes due to last week’s high court ruling that parliament must vote on whether or not to trigger Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty, per the Guardian.
It’s well-founded activating that clause would give the UK a two-year window in which to get their affairs in order before leaving the EU, and prime minister Theresa May has set a deadline of March 2017 by which Article 50 should be triggered.
But what of the rest of Europe?
The United Kingdom’s decision to head for the exit door first has encouraged a slew of talk as to who could follow, and Greece are heavy 8/11 (1.73) leaders in that regard, way ahead of any other candidate.
It’s easy to forget that before there was ever any talk of “Brexit,” the Greeks entered an economic tailspin so disastrous that it was their departure mooted first, and many of their citizens feel the austerity measures placed on their nation by the EU since then are hugely unfair.
France are a more distant 5/1 (6.00), but one shouldn’t let the gulf between those two options fool, as a majority of French citizens actually support the idea of holding their own EU referendum, according to a study performed at the University of Edinburgh, via Betfair.
However, it is worth noting that while most were for the idea of a referendum, only 33% voiced the opinion that they would choose to leave, while 44% said they would opt to stay in the European Union.
Hungary and the Netherlands follow in third and fourth at respective odds of 10/1 (11.00) and 11/1 (12.00), while Ireland aren't far behind in the matter and are tied alongside Italy at 12/1 (13.00) to follow the lead of their cross-Channel neighbours.
As the only English-speaking member now left in the European Union, there is a fear the UK’s exit could have a sort of domino effect for the Irish, who could pose the decision of having their own referendum if their economy is adversely affected in any way.
Germany, the biggest contributor to the European Union’s budget, looks all but impossible to depart next as they’re positioned way out at 20/1 (21.00), while Spain are even less likely as things stand, currently listed at 25/1 (26.00).
At the bottom of the list stands minuscule Luxembourg - with a rough population of 580,000 and needing their ties to the continental trade powerhouse—currently an 80/1 (81.00) punt to take their leave directly after the UK.
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