Transfer

Luke Shaw next club odds - Left-back injured but wanted by rivals

Tue, 2 May 2017, 23:35

Ruled out until the end of the season with ligament damage, Luke Shaw is teetering on the edge of a Manchester United exit after boss Jose Mourinho has clearly shown his dissatisfaction in the 21-year old’s consistency. What Are The Odds looks at what club pose the most realistic transfer options for the England international.

A report in The Guardian newspaper has suggested that Luke Shaw will miss the rest of this season and possibly the start of next season, news that could deter potential suitors, while also forcing United’s hand at selling their left-back at a cheaper price than they may have liked.

The news isn’t likely to faze the raft of suitors for the former Southampton star, with Tottenham currently the favourites at 5/1 (6.00) to complete the signing of Luke Shaw. Admittedly if Spurs are to move for Shaw this will likely mean that they anticipate the departure of Danny Rose or Ben Davies (both who are the regular two left backs at the club). Manchester City have been linked to Danny Rose, so a fit and in-form Luke Shaw at Tottenham would appear to be the ideal replacement.

Liverpool are another club looking to reinforce and strengthen their position a title challenge next season and the club’s fans have been quick to jump on lack of quality in defence, which has likely led to the Reds losing key fixtures this season. Luke Shaw to Anfield makes sense, although Sky Bet give the move only an outside price of 12/1 (13.0) at this time. The club have been utilising the resilient James Milner at left-back this season, but it’s obvious this wouldn’t be the ideal scenario heading into next season with every other team strengthening and with the club headed to Champions League qualification.

Interestingly it’s Southampton (Shaw’s former club) and Everton who are also priced at 12/1 (13.0) alongside Liverpool. No doubt Manchester United would prefer to sell Shaw to a lesser rival like a Southampton or Everton, but would a seemingly backwards step be an appealing career move to the 21-year old? With a couple of Champions League clubs interested it would be a surprise to see such a move, but with an increasingly improve Premier League it wouldn’t be a surprise either.

It could also be interesting to see how two other clubs approach a potential transfer to Luke Shaw - with Champions elect Chelsea and newly-promoted Newcastle United both given odds of 14/1 (15.0) to secure Luke Shaw this summer.

Chelsea are being linked with many names at left-back and one of those involves a move for Ryan Bertrand, which would make much more sense considering his fitness and form. Newcastle on the other hand could be an intriguing outside bet, but a lot will depend on whether or not boss Rafa Benitez gets the transfer funds he will likely demand from the club’s owners.

Other outsiders are Arsenal at 18/1 (19.0) and West Ham United even further back at 22/1 (23.0).

Probability of Luke Shaw's next club

Next Club Luke Shaw Transfer Odds Probability
Tottenham Luke Shaw Odds - Tottenham 5/1 16.67%
Liverpool Luke Shaw Odds - Liverpool 12/1 7.69%
Southampton Luke Shaw Odds - Southampton 12/1 7.69%
Everton Luke Shaw Odds - Everton 12/1 7.69%
Chelsea Luke Shaw Odds - Chelsea 14/1 6.67%

WHAT ARE THE ODDS?

What Are The Odds is a bettingexpert magazine where we're looking at what bookmaker odds are telling us about real-life stories.

You'll find posts covering everything from odds intelligence on the latest transfer market rumours, the latest developments and most likely outcomes of certain popular events, as well as perspective odds, where we'll compare a number of otherwise incomparable events through odds probability. 

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