Transfer

Hibs rebuff 'low offers' for John McGinn but further club bids expected before deadline

Mon, 28 August 2017, 10:55

Scottish youngster John McGinn, 22, has been the centre of transfer speculation throughout the summer with Scottish and Championship clubs interested in his services. What Are The Odds looks at where McGinn could possibly move to in this transfer window.

Over the weekend, with just a few days left until the close of the transfer window in Scotland and in England; Hibernian’s John McGinn has once again been subject of a bid that has fallen below the valuation of the Edinburgh club’s valuation.

Former-Rangers and now Nottingham Forest boss Mark Warburton has pushed through a bid for McGinn, but Hibs’ Neil Lennon revealed that the offer was too low and the club would continue to refuse below par offers until the club feels they are getting their money's worth. Multiple reports online are suggesting the offer was around the £750,000 mark - a somewhat low offer in the current transfer market landscape.

Nottingham Forest remain the favourites in the final days of the transfer window with odds of 2/1 (3.00) from BetVictor, but are joined on the same odds by Celtic, who also maintain an interest in the 22-year old Glaswegian. The appeal of moving back to his home city and playing Champions League group stage football could be just the ticket for McGinn, but it all seems to hinge on whether Hibernian get the offer they want - otherwise the youngster is going nowhere.

Celtic’s arch-rivals Rangers are a but further back in the betting market according to BetVictor with odds of 12/1 (13.0), and with the player hailing from Glasgow it could give the blue half of the city a fighting chance, but all the summer speculation surrounding the potential transfer has come from the green and white side of the city - meaning it’s pretty unlikely he’ll swap Easter Road for Ibrox before Thursday’s deadline.

Sunderland are back at 12/1 (13.0) alongside the Gers, while Ipswich are at 16/1 (17.0) that is despite having a bid of around £1m rejected a few weeks ago. Back when this bid was rejected from the Tractor Boys, it was said that McGinn’s value was nearer the £5m mark - at this point it would be hard to see many clubs being able to take such a punt - that said Forest and Celtic do have funds from transfers out and European qualification.

Sheffield United are the wildcard in this market at 16/1 (17.0), considering their recent promotion from League One and good start to life in the Championship, there might be a move from the steel city club if bids from Celtic and Forest don’t materialise.

Newcastle United, Aston Villa and Norwich City are all also given odds of 16/1 (17.0) and all would make sense in one way or another. Whether any are willing to splash out up to £5m on a player that would need to make an instant impact, be it for promotion or league survival is another thing.

Probability of John McGinn's next club

Next Club John McGinn Transfer Odds Probability
Celtic   2/1 33.33%
Nottingham Forest   2/1 33.33%
Sunderland   12/1 7.69%
Rangers   12/1 7.69%
Ipswich   16/1 5.88%

WHAT ARE THE ODDS?

What Are The Odds is a bettingexpert magazine where we're looking at what bookmaker odds are telling us about real-life stories.

You'll find posts covering everything from odds intelligence on the latest transfer market rumours, the latest developments and most likely outcomes of certain popular events, as well as perspective odds, where we'll compare a number of otherwise incomparable events through odds probability. 

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