Statistical Analysis

Premier League Transfer Roundup: Man City tops spending table

Fri, 1 September 2017, 12:04

The transfer window slammed shut last night, and so ended one of the craziest summers the business of football has known.

PSG smashing the world record to sign the two most expensive players of all time in Neymar and Kylian Mbappe summed up an extraordinary couple of months of deals, where fees went through the roof.

No league summed that up more than the Premier League, where the influx of money from this season’s TV deal saw clubs spend like never before. In all, almost £1.4 billion was spent by English top-flight clubs – smashing last year’s record of £1.16b, with the average player going for £12.8m, up from £9.9m in 2016.

Leading the way in the big spending was Manchester City and Pep Guardiola. The Spaniard splashed £219.9m as he tried to revamp the side that came third last season, with Benjamin Mendy, Kyle Walker, Bernardo Silva and Ederson chief among the seven new faces arriving at the Etihad over the summer.

And that figure could have been even higher had City been able to force through a deal for Arsenal's Alexis Sanchez on deadline day.

Thanks to a couple of last minute deals for Davide Zappacosta and Danny Drinkwater, champions Chelsea snuck into second place on the spending table, with a total outgoing of £182.7m.

Antonio Conte will have felt frustrated in a transfer window that saw him miss out on Romelu Lukaku, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, Fernando Llorente and Ross Barkley – but the arrival of Tiemoue Bakayoko, Antonio Rudiger and £58m man Alvaro Morata should ease the Italian’s fears for the new season.

At the other end of the table, Swansea were the lowest spenders of the 20 clubs, adding just £25.9m worth of quality to their side. That would have been lower still but for re-signing Wilfried Bony from Mancheser City as the transfer window slammed shut.

After battling relegation for most of last season, boss Paul Clement will have his work cut out to remain in the division once again.

Unsurprisingly, it was the teams at the top that spent the most, with Manchester United, Liverpool and Tottenham all near the top of the spending table.

Ronald Koeman’s Everton were a surprise name near the head of that list, however, spending £142.4m – almost £62m more than city rivals Liverpool.

That ambition shows Koeman’s desire to break into the top six that seemed so far ahead of the pack last season.

One club who have enjoyed a miserable start to the season, and an equally miserable transfer window, are Arsenal.

The Gunners failed to sign Monaco’s Thomas Lemar on deadline day, and were forced to let unhappy Oxlade-Chamberlain leave for Anfield.

While they did manage to keep wantaway Sanchez, spending less money than 17th placed Watford and 12th placed Leicester (and only just ahead of newly-promoted Brighton) will hardly fill fans with confidence ahead of the new campaign.

However, as any good fan on Arsenal FanTV will tell you, it’s not about spend, it’s about net spend, fella.

The Gunners made a tidy profit from their summer’s dealings, one of only four Premier League clubs to end up in positive figures from their transfer action this window.

Sales of Oxlade-Chamberlain, as well as Gabriel, Wojciech Szczesny and Kieran Gibbs saw Arsene Wenger actually make money across the summer, despite the high profile of Alexandre Lacazette.

This is hardly music to the ears of the frustrated Emirates faithful, however, who have been crying out for more investment this season to fix a squad that missed out on Champions League football last term.

Given their low spend, and the sale of Gylfi Sigurdsson to Everton, Swansea were the team who made the most across the window, with a profit of £30.5m.

At the other end of the table, Manchester United had the worst net spend, recouping just £7.7m from their summer dealings, giving them a net spend of £140.3m.

Jose Mourinho won’t mind, so long as spending big on Lukaku, Nemanja Matic and Victor Lindelof brings the Premier League title back to Old Trafford in May.

Unsurprisingly, given City’s hefty transfer bill, two of the five top deals arrived at the Etihad.

Full backs Mendy and Walker were signed for City for £51.75m and £45.9m respectively, as Guardiola went big in an attempt to revamp his defence.

In fact, the sixth highest deal of the window also went to the blue half of Manchester, with Bernardo Silva joining City for £45m from Monaco.

Lacazette’s £47.7m fee put him at fourth place on the list, with Morata’s £55.8m transfer to Stamford Bridge putting him in second – but the final word, as so often, goes to Mourinho.

After seeing off stiff competition from Chelsea, the Red Devils boss paid £76.23m to Everton for Lukaku, making the Belgian the most expensive player of the window.

Given the exorbitant fees spent on Neymar and Mbappe in France, and the extra money Premier League clubs have, don’t be surprised if that mark, and the £12.9m spend on average per player going even higher next summer.

Statistical Analysis discovers hidden trends and values in major gambling events by deciphering both contemporary stats and historical data. We derive our probabilities from history, not just betting odds, so you don't have to.


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